Zogby: McCain Up by 2%

25Sep08

In addition to Gallup’s Daily Tracking poll showing the presidential race tied, a move from a 3 point Obama lead yesterday, Zobgy’s new poll shows that McCain has retaken the lead.

McCain now leads Obama, 45.8% to 43.8%, the survey shows.

The Horserace

Sept. 23/25

Sept. 19/20

Obama

43.8%

46.8%

McCain

45.8%

43.4%

Not sure/Other

10.4%

8.8%

The big shift in the race appears to have come among independent voters, where McCain now leads by nine points, 43% to 34%. In the survey conducted over the weekend, Obama led by one point among independents.

The shift to McCain occurred in response to his announced campaign suspension.

The survey, half conducted before McCain’s announcement Wednesday that he would suspend his campaign to concentrate on the financial crisis and half conducted after the announcement, shows movement in McCain’s favor after his announcement. Before the announcement – which included about half of the total polling sample – Obama led by one point. But McCain led by 5 points in polling completed after his statement about the suspension of his campaign. Overall, the interactive survey, conducted Sept. 23-25, 2008, included 4,752 likely voters nationwide and carries a margin of error of +/- 1.5 percentage points.



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