Two Four Five

18Oct08

The polls are pretty much the same today – implying a lack of impact from Wednesday night’s debate.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. These figures reflect a remarkably stable race in which Obama has enjoyed a four-to-eight point advantage for twenty-three straight days. McCain has not been up by even a single point in over a month (see trends).

Obama is viewed favorably by 55%, McCain by 53%. Those figures include 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of Obama and 30% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of him. For McCain, the comparable numbers are 23% Very Favorable and 24% Very Unfavorable.

Gallup shows a 2 point race, Rasmussen a 5% race, and Zogby is at 4%. (Rasmussen and Zogby have swapped results.)

Forty-four percent (44%) of voters are certain they will vote for Obama and not change their mind. Forty percent (40%) say the same about McCain. Thirteen percent (13%) have a preference for once candidate or the other but still say they might change their mind.

The tracking polls collect three days worth of polling, dropping an old day and adding a fresh one every day, so we won’t see three days of results from after the last debate until tomorrow’s numbers come out.



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