Archive for the ‘Rasmussen’ Category

Who was right when it came to predicting the outcome of the presidential race? I was. The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate? The Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos. […]


Razz Wrap

04Nov08

The final Rasmussen poll is out, and it shows a 6% advantage for Barack. The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 shows Barack Obama with 52% of the vote while John McCain is six points back at 46%. One percent (1%) of voters say they’ll select a third-party option while 1% […]


Ever Wondered?

03Nov08

(Please read this with Andy Rooney’s voice in your head.) Have you ever noticed that the polls that show Barack with the biggest lead come from the big liberal news media? The only polls other than Gallup that indicate higher than a 7% Obama lead are from NBC/WSJ at 8%, ABC/Washington Post at 11%, and […]


The surge worked for Iraq, but it’s not working for McCain. His move up in the polls from last weekend petered out during the week, and weekend numbers, which generally favor the Democrats, are showing a stalled race. The Real Clear Politics tally shows an average lead of 6.7% for Barack, and today’s Rasmussen report […]


While John McCain has made some effort to claim the mantle of the Reagan legacy, he hasn’t done much of anything to sell Americans on the idea. The dummies running McCain’s campaign have sat still and allowed Barack, the big government liberal who will surely expand the size of government if elected, to become the […]


Zogby Shocker

01Nov08

The race for president tightens, as the Zogby poll shows McCain cutting two points off Barack’s lead. That’s good news – but that’s not the surprise. Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, […]


Four

31Oct08

While Zobgy stayed at 7% in favor of Barack today, Rasmussen tightened a bit. The Rasmussen Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama with 51% of the vote, John McCain with 47%.Over the past five days, Obama’s lead has been between three and five percentage points each day. That’s a bit […]


Razz Too

30Oct08

Rasmussen also moves two points toward Barack today. After showing the candidates just three points apart yesterday, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll on Thursday returns to the range that has defined the race for over a month. It’s Obama by five, 51% to 46%. Zogby jumped two points, showing Barack up seven. This […]


Rasmussen operates the most stable, in my estimation, of polls. I like it because it is slow to change – something in their technique apparently buffers the daily fluctuations. Today it moves two points, after having shown a 5% Barack lead for the last two days, and an 8% lead for the two days before […]


Closer

27Oct08

Drudge says that Zogby’s numbers for Tuesday, released daily at 1:30am, will show the race getting one point tighter – to a 4% lead for Barack. The Monday numbers from Zogby, Rasmussen and Gallup all show just a 5% lead for Obama.


Despite attempts by the media to convince voters that the election is over, we should see things get closer over the last week. Starting from a very close 5 point difference. Rasmussen Reports 10/24 – 10/26 3000 LV 2.0 51 46 Obama +5 Gallup (Traditional)* 10/24 – 10/26 2448 LV 2.0 50 45 Obama +5 […]


Zogby – 5%

26Oct08

On Thursday, the Zogby poll showed Barack up 12 points. It was down to 10%, then 9%, for the next couple of days. Today’s number? A 5 point race. “I have alluded before to this strange, magnetic pull that brings Obama down to 48% or 49%, a danger zone for him. McCain’s gains are among […]


Criss Cross

25Oct08

Zogby gets closer. Democrat Barack Obama‘s lead over Republican rival John McCain fell slightly to 9 points, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released Saturday, the second consecutive day the race has narrowed. Obama leads McCain by 51 percent to 42 percent in the rolling three-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 […]


McCain Slide

24Oct08

The Rasmussen is unchanged today – still a 7% lead for Barack. Today’s results mark the 29th straight day that Obama’s support has stayed between 50% or above 52%. During that period, the number voting for McCain has stayed in the 44% to 46% range every day and the gap between the candidates has ranged […]


Zag

23Oct08

The polls are all over the place. Zogby up to 12, Rasmussen up a bit to 7, and Gallup drops to a 4% Barack lead. Of the polls that I don’t track, Hotline has Barack up 5, and IBD shows him with a 1% lead. Rasmussen Reports 10/20 – 10/22 3000 LV 2.0 52 45 […]


Serious

23Oct08

Zogby – Barack up 12. Democrat Barack Obama’s lead over Republican rival John McCain has grown to 12 points in the U.S. presidential race, with crucial independent and women voters increasingly moving to his side, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Thursday. With less than two weeks before the November 4 election, Obama leads […]