Archive for the ‘registered voters’ Category

We’ve been hearing forever about the Bradley Effect – the theory that black candidates don’t do as well on election day as polls predict because people don’t give pollsters their true opinions. If you look at the statistical dead heat of this race, plug in the Bradley effect, you figure McCain’s leading by 6 or […]


McCain’s lead

04Aug08

Of the two polls that take a daily, constant look at the race for President, Rasmussen is, in my opinion, the gold standard. With a sample size of 3000, it shows a running tally of the last 3 days of surveys of likely voters. Today, for the first time since Barack secured the nomination on […]